0xbdD0AC56ef20B5900768e24b4E3Ee952de7782e0-1772516092142

0xbdd0ac...7782e0

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

+$35

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-6.70

Sortino Ratio

-9.24

Max Drawdown

3773.1%

ROI

2.2%

Profit Factor

1.33

Kelly Fraction

0.071

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	426.818	Mar 5
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	44.6¢	210.66	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	431.682	Mar 5
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	SELL	28.5¢	333.33	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	443	Mar 5
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	SELL	67.0¢	106.06	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.3¢	306.748	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	526.316	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?	BUY	25.9¢	308.939	Mar 4
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	BUY	30.0¢	333.333	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	BUY	47.5¢	210.667	Mar 4
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	BUY	60.1¢	166.439	Mar 4
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	SELL	65.6¢	93.17	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.9¢	136.47	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	80.1¢	168.73	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	22.0¢	45.455	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	54.348	Mar 3
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	BUY	66.0¢	106.061	Mar 3
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	BUY	53.7¢	93.172	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency21.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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