bayaa

0x0fa2a9...1f93ef

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.3%

Total P&L

+$854

Trade Count

162

Sharpe Ratio

0.71

Sortino Ratio

20.05

Max Drawdown

618.3%

ROI

73.4%

Profit Factor

2.50

Kelly Fraction

0.170

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	51.0¢	8.35	Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	5.6¢	89.286	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	3.4¢	294.118	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.2¢	199.203	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.8¢	18.657	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	4.1¢	73.171	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?	BUY	6.6¢	75.281	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	40	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Mar 3
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	5,000	Mar 3
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	10,000	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	14.0¢	28.571	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 3

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.8%

Win Consistency29.0%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity162 trades · 11 active days

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