0x05ddbe...14305c

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$5.4K

Trade Count

3,241

Sharpe Ratio

1.37

Sortino Ratio

6.71

Max Drawdown

124.6%

ROI

8.0%

Profit Factor

7.28

Kelly Fraction

0.518

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.56	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.27	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.39	Mar 4
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	5.43	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.29	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	0.97	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	0.4	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	71.0¢	2.78	Mar 4
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	45.0¢	157.07	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	BUY	92.0¢	39.92	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	99.1¢	24.02	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	SELL	85.0¢	29.36	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	42.5¢	59.76	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	42.8¢	0.34	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	SELL	84.0¢	38.92	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	82.0¢	73.46	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	5	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	42.0¢	5	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	44.0¢	15.54	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	44.0¢	3.56	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.5%

Win Consistency48.6%

Profit Factor1.24

Drawdown Resilience1.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.76

Trading Activity3,241 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,1134d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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